[at-l] if...

[Sloetoe]

--- Tamara Krebs <tamarakrebs20 at hotmail.com> wrote:
> With "winter" being so warm, the oceans may warm up
and then we'll be in for another record breaking year
of hurricanes.

### Mebbe. Mebbe not. What happened last summer was
greater turnover of ocean water, with the colder (less
energized) stuff on top. This means 1) great for sport
fishing, 2) DE-energized hurricane season but, with
the warming of these waters, 3) a loosening of the
oceanic grip on CO2 in solution, meaning the ocean,
instead of absorbing CO2, is either absorbing less or
actually *releasing* more -- so the less-energized
ocean can also be the quiet before the storm (so to
speak, no pun intended, just a phrase, consult your
local meteorologist before taking any grain commodity
futures contracts from the cboe/cbot). This winter?
The opposite -- a warm, moist air mass keeping the
arctic flows away.

The take-away? These are great big systems, thousands
of years in formation, to which we've become
accustomed to certain (meteorologic) behaviors, based
on relatively fixed levels of energy absorption and
dispersion. It's not about "global warming", but about
tipping balances in energy systems -- we'll see alot
more flood/drought cycles, "record" storm seasons,
etc, before we see regular patterns of the last
effect: "global warming".

(I know -- you knew that...)
flowtoe

Spatior! Nitor! Nitor! Tempero!
   Pro Pondera Et Meliora.