[pct-l] PCT Closure

[Postholer]

The article failed to mention an El Nino advisory lasting will into the 
winter, which potentially means above normal rain for SoCal.

Also, a 12-hour steady rain as mentioned in the article is fairly common for 
the mountains, given you have a whole winter to realize it.

A worst case scenario would be an early, heavy snowfall, followed by heavy, 
warm El Nino type rain. Remember, sections of Hwy 2 completely disappeared 
during the 2005 winter onslaught and took a couple years for that road to 
open? (not El Nino, though)

-postholer

> After the rains the winter it there may be quite a places where
> the trail will need serious work:

http://www.latimes.com/news/local/la-me-mudslide-risk7-2009oct07,0,7370064.story

> I hope I am wrong but I live a mere block from the edge of the
> burn and so have been following the reports closely - this is one
> very bad burn...

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