[pct-l] 2012 thru-hike completion percentages

[aslive at charter.net]

I have yet to complete the PCT myself, as I am slowly hiking north a 
little each year, but it occurs to me that there should be a trail 
register at the north terminus as there is at the south.  I would 
further think that anyone completing the PCT would be eager to sign it. 
Am I wrong, or would this not provide an accurate count of completing 
thru's?

Shepherd


On Mon, Jan 14, 2013 at 1:56 PM, Len Glassner wrote:

> mtnned wrote:
>
>>>>>>>>>> Yet, we still come back to the percentages. The PCT 
>>>>>>>>>> completion rate is about 30%<<<<<<
>
> Follow the link below to see a list of folks who say they completed
> the PCT last year:
>
> http://pcta.org/about_trail/miler_list/
>
> I loaded the 2012 list into a spreadsheet and came up with 315 names.
> There are one or two duplicates in there.
>
> Now, let's say that number includes 50 section hikers who finished the
> trail.  That would leave 265 thru's.
>
> Let's assume there are 10 ego-less souls who required neither a hockey
> puck nor a piece of paper, weren't aware of the listing, or otherwise
> managed to not get on the list, now we're up to 275 thru's.
>
> Now let's compare that to the number of  2012 KO attendees who
> self-identified as 2012 thru-hikers:
>
> http://siechert.org/adz/2012/registered_attendees.htm
>
> 276 thru's signed up for KO.  So 276-275 = 1.  Only one attemptee
> failed to complete the trail!!!  Who is that person???
>
> But to be serious, let's say one third of all 2012 thru-hikers did not
> sign up for the KO.   That would imply 2/3 of the class finished.
>
> I know there was talk of something like 700 permits issued, so maybe
> my estimate of KO non-attendees is low, but I don't think so.  And I
> think my estimate of section hiker completions may be generous.
>
> Most likely the 2011 completion rate was lower, given the extreme
> differences in snow challenges.  Hmm...I think I'll take a look.
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