<html><body style="word-wrap: break-word; -webkit-nbsp-mode: space; -webkit-line-break: after-white-space; "><div>Drop-out rate inflation is common. When I went into basic training the word in the barracks was "fifty percent drop-out rate!" but in fact we lost about 3 guys out of 60.</div><div><br class="webkit-block-placeholder"></div><div>I'm sure it's the same for the PCT. I very highly down the dropout rate is 80%. I could believe maybe 40-50% but its probably even less than that. Although it's probably true that most of the dropouts happen in the beginning.</div><div><br class="webkit-block-placeholder"></div><div><br class="webkit-block-placeholder"></div><br><div><div>On Jan 13, 2008, at 8:25 PM, Hiker97 wrote:</div><br class="Apple-interchange-newline"><blockquote type="cite"><div style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial"> <div>Over at Tell It On The Mountain (<a href="http://www.tellitonthemountain.com/episode1.html">www.tellitonthemountain.com/episode1.html</a>) they mentions that the drop out rate is about 35%. I always thought it was much higher than that for a thru hike. I thought the success rate was around 20% going NoBo and the drop out rate about 80%. I thought that only about 50% of the original class leaving Campo will leave Kennedy Meadows and head into the Sierras.</div> <div> </div> <div>I know it depends on snow, etc., but what is the average success rate each year? I am a little confused.</div> <div> </div> <div>Thanks, Switchback the Rater</div> <div class="aol_ad_footer" id="ue0abfad229bf42e3b20bdc85b6075943"><font style="color: black; font: normal 10pt ARIAL, SAN-SERIF;"><hr style="MARGIN-TOP: 10px">See AOL's <a title="http://food.aol.com/top-rated-recipes?NCID=aoltop00030000000004" href="http://food.aol.com/top-rated-recipes?NCID=aoltop00030000000004" target="_blank">top rated recipes</a> and <a title="http://body.aol.com/fitness/winter-exercise?NCID=aoltop00030000000003" href="http://body.aol.com/fitness/winter-exercise?NCID=aoltop00030000000003" target="_blank">easy ways to stay in shape</a> for winter.</font></div> </div> _______________________________________________<br>Pct-l mailing list<br><a href="mailto:Pct-l@backcountry.net">Pct-l@backcountry.net</a><br>To unsubscribe or change list options (digest, etc):<br>http://mailman.backcountry.net/mailman/listinfo/pct-l<br></blockquote></div><br></body></html>